Gold Is Rallying Hard — Here’s What Past Rallies Suggest Comes Next

Mar 24, 2026 | Gold IRA | 4 comments

Gold Is Rallying Hard — Here’s What Past Rallies Suggest Comes Next

Gold has had a strong run, and it’s fair to ask whether that kind of move tends to continue or reverse. Looking at gold’s past multi-year rallies — the 1970s run into 1980, and the 2001–2011 run into the post-financial-crisis peak — both continued longer and further than most forecasters expected at the time, before eventually correcting sharply.

That history cuts both ways. It suggests rallies driven by structural factors (currency devaluation concerns, high inflation, geopolitical instability) can run longer than a simple technical chart would predict. It also suggests that when they end, the pullback can be steep — gold fell roughly 45% from its 2011 peak over the following four years.

What’s different about the current environment is the combination of drivers: persistent central bank buying, elevated government debt levels across major economies, and recurring geopolitical tension, layered on top of the more usual inflation-hedge narrative. Multiple simultaneous drivers is part of why some analysts argue this rally has more room, while others point out that “this time is different” has preceded every major reversal in gold’s history too.

Neither view is provably right in advance. What history actually shows is that gold rallies of this scale don’t move in a straight line, and betting the entire outcome on a short-term prediction has a poor track record either direction.

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4 Comments

  1. @robertwatson3962

    The current rush to buy gold and silver is an expression of humanity LOSING CONFIDENCE in fiat currency. Educated and respected people have been saying this for years. This is not news. Humanity will look for currency exit doors. One day we will hear "fire" and there will be a rush to the doors. The yelling has begun. The yelling of "fire" will be heard by people with the most paper money and influence first. Eventually, however, we be unable to move paper money into tried and true assets because the exit doors will be shut and those left with paper money will burn. Welcome to the reset.
    Let us hope the reset is not CBDC. Central Banks Digital Currency. If we shift to CBDC I fear our independence will be severely hampered. We will become monetary robots, and we will be conditioned to accept it because it will be easy, and there won't be a choice. Fiat currency is a similar control of humanity, but with paper. Unorganized, petty crime will be reduced, but organized crime will flourish. You can define organized crime because BANKS will be in charge and all they care about is themselves, literally, at the expense of others.

    Reply
  2. @jred4560

    Lots of panic in the precious metals,remaining calm and waiting for the market to settle down.

    Reply
  3. @rayubinger9780

    An $8000 gold floor will be in place before 2027, says Andrew Maguire.

    Reply
  4. @patrickshanahan4268

    Fundamentals have changed dramatically. The eighties were another story. Spoofing is done. It's Our time to shine!!

    Reply

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